US Election Day 2024: Polls Open and Results

Final Prediction: Who Will Win?


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I know she was never going to win fucking UTAH or MONTANA but every time there's a red projection I'm reminded how HORRIBLE AND EVIL AMERICA IS :evil:
Most Americans are TOO STUPID to be EVIL.
 
There has been absolutely nothing positive for Harris so far tonight. Nothing.
 
I’m just praying that Kier Starmer is awake and working on the sanctions package.
 
There is still a chance that they've all underestimated the turnout in urban areas still counting. That applies to every state.
 
There has been absolutely nothing positive for Harris so far tonight. Nothing.

Some tiny little boosts in individual counties. And the vote in Philadelphia.

But nothing on the state level.

Analysing why she loses this is going to be horrible. I mean is it just as simple as what is so obvious? The woman is CLEARLY more qualified than him (as was Clinton - but people said she was unlikeable. Harris is anything but unlikeable).
 
Some tiny little boosts in individual counties. And the vote in Philadelphia.

But nothing on the state level.

Analysing why she loses this is going to be horrible. I mean is it just as simple as what is so obvious? The woman is CLEARLY more qualified than him (as was Clinton - but people said she was unlikeable. Harris is anything but unlikeable).

She hasn't had anywhere near as much time to prepare the country for her position in the role as the others did. Mind you I suppose Obama didn't, but he had way more organic momentum. And it wasn't against the orange clown.

Anyway it's too early for that...
 
The why did trump win story is easy. The perception of the economy. Prices went up, and people don't understand or care how much was out of Biden's hands, and how much he mitigated it.
 
What I don't like is that if urban turnout does end up saving Harris, seeing models showing 70%+ chance of Trump winning is going to fuel conspiracy theories
 
Trump now leading in Pennsylvania :(
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She hasn't had anywhere near as much time to prepare the country for her position in the role as the others did. Mind you I suppose Obama didn't, but he had way more organic momentum. And it wasn't against the orange clown.

Anyway it's too early for that...
By the time Obama became President, he had already sponsored and helped pass TWO huge bills into law during his time as Senator. Harris hasn't achieved even a fraction of that. Her experience and success with federal legislation is very limited, and barely that much more than Trump's
 
What I don't like is that if urban turnout does end up saving Harris, seeing models showing 70%+ chance of Trump winning is going to fuel conspiracy theories

My thoughts exactly. It definitely impacted 2020.
 
Trump now leading in Pennsylvania :(

The biggest counties (Philadelphia,Montgomery, Bucks, Chester) all have counted less proportionally than the rest of the state and are all heavily Democrat so I think she is actually going to win Pennsylvania to be honest. But it won't be enough.
 
The biggest counties (Philadelphia,Montgomery, Bucks, Chester) all have counted less proportionally than the rest of the state and are all heavily Democrat so I think she is actually going to win Pennsylvania to be honest. But it won't be enough.

If the same things happens in Michigan then we're back to neck and neck really.
 
I mean she should never be losing Virginia, but it does seem like the populated areas are all coming in LATE
 
Trump is now winning the popular vote!

Something is definitely OFF
 
If Trump actually wins the popular vote then he should be winning the electoral college in an absolute landslide. Do the current popular vote figures not include anything from California, or something?
 
If Trump actually wins the popular vote then he should be winning the electoral college in an absolute landslide. Do the current popular vote figures not include anything from California, or something?

California is one of the last to close.
 
GA now under 200k behind for the first time in a long time. But 88% reporting.
 
I think dmlaw means are they not counting it in their projection. And they must be. It just all feels OFF!
 
Yeah, that is what I meant. I don’t see how the popular vote is remotely close when, for example, 2016 was much less close than this in the electoral college but was still a Clinton landslide in the popular vote.
 

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