On the polling, things seem to have slowed down a bit (we’ll see if the DNC makes a difference) but the interesting thing is every state inching left, which helps with states like Georgia and NC.
Based on likely and safe leans, Trump still has way more paths to 270. He only needs about 4 swing states (less if he gets PA) but Kamala needs almost all of them.
If she can flip either NC or Georgia or preferably both, she has a much easier time. She doesn’t need PA then, as long as she gets the other swings which are already leaning her way.