2024 US Presidential Election (1 Viewer)

I’ll stick to CNN. I don’t want dry, level headed British analysis for this, it demands 8-12 hours of full blown American hysteria with increasing dread and anxiety around every potentially game changing drop of 750 newly counted votes from DEKALB COUNTY.
 
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I think I can get MSNBC on my Sky package so I’ll probably be flicking between that and BBC News (depending on if they wheel out Andrew Neil :eyes:)
 
I’ll probably watch the Hasan Piker stream on the night, and dip my toe into the chaos of Channel 4.
 
I’ll start my day at work in KEY DELALB COUNTY and then I’ll reload nyt and twitter for hours
 
Unless it is super super close, as in 270/268 close, we'll probably know the results on the night. Postal votes are what really delayed the 2020 election and they should be a much smaller proportion of the votes this time around. And as long as either candidate doesn't depend on a single state to get them over the line, I imagine it will be called about 3 or 4am UK time.
 
Unless it is super super close, as in 270/268 close, we'll probably know the results on the night. Postal votes are what really delayed the 2020 election and they should be a much smaller proportion of the votes this time around. And as long as either candidate doesn't depend on a single state to get them over the line, I imagine it will be called about 3 or 4am UK time.

WHY WOULD YOU JINX IT LIKE THIS???
 
Why will postal votes be less this time? Aren’t they on the rise?
It was 2020.

I don't see why they'd go down based on realisation of convenience, but it's equally feasible that they peaked four years ago, due to circumstance.
 
Funky in New York, September 12th, 2001

“WHY’S EVERYONE SO GLUM?”
Except for one SUSPICIOUS character...

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It’s not looking good at the moment :(

The momentum has stalled and she’s currently not ahead enough in the swing states to make the popular vote mean anything.

PA even went to an aggregate of Rep+1 for the first time in ages last week but it has since gone back to Dem+1

It’s just too fucking close.
 
The spend is also telling - an BBC article had a breakdown on the millions being spent by both parties in the swing states. The dems have way more money and are spending way more in swing states, except in PA where the spend is almost equal. The Republicans are betting everything on it. The dems have more options; but not without PA. The Republicans have way more options if PA is red.
 
They are outspending in every swing state except the big one where it’s equal, explain why this is a disaster?!???
 
It’s not a great sign the Republicans are putting all their budget into one state and still can’t outspend the Dems, it’s a wild take to suggest otherwise!
 
They are outspending in every swing state except the big one where it’s equal, explain why this is a disaster?!???

It’s not a disaster, it’s just a smart move by the republicans. They have less money so rather than spread the spend and go for as many swings as possible, as the dems are doing, they’re betting everything on PA. That’s bad news for Dems I think.
 
It’s not a great sign the Republicans are putting all their budget into one state and still can’t outspend the Dems, it’s a wild take to suggest otherwise.

I don’t understand what you mean. I’m not talking about the success or lack of it on how much money they’ve raised; but the telling point of where they’re putting it. The Dems just can’t win without PA. People say they can, mathematically they can, I just can’t see it. The Republicans seem to think so too.
 
Ok I just don’t think it’s some act of political genius for the Republicans to match the Dem’s spend in PA.
 
My worry with PA is the Amish vote, which the Republicans seem to be courting heavily and presumably won’t be showing up on many/any polls.
 
I never said it was genius! They had a choice - they could have spent in relation to the value of the states ie more evenly, which isn’t a far fetch; that’s what the dems are doing. I’m far from a political analyst but given what the republicans are doing I would take money out of Minnesota where you’re already going to win and Florida where you’re not going to win regardless, and spend spend spend in PA.

I’m just thinking out loud due to the ANXIETY of it all.
 
My worry with PA is the Amish vote, which the Republicans seem to be courting heavily and presumably won’t be showing up on many/any polls.

Apparently the black and Latino vote is much bigger in PA now than it was in 2016, however the dems are polling worse in those demos than in 2016.

*head explodes*
 

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