UK General Election 2024 - July 4th

How are you likely to vote?

  • Total voters
    67
Kate said:
“Assault by beating”? The fuck?
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Assault by beating is what used to be called battery. It is used for an assault where physical force is applied, as opposed to the apprehension of physical force, which is all that is required for common assault. The force applied can be very slight, for example spitting at someone would be charged as assault by beating.
 
AGinAg (39) said:
Just wondering if Kier didn't respond properly last night, because he knew Rishi was lying, and it would look worse with the liar narrative.

I mean it's 50% backfired, 50% a smash hit.
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This is where I'm at. Far more effective to have their one attack line exposed as a lie this way than to have just refuted it during the debate - this way it gets to be a news story in its own right and make Sunak look even more of a twat.
 
That tax story avoids the front pages by dint of falling on the anniversary of D-Day and Camilla getting a bit weepy. Ah well.
 
Douglas Ross is the worst. I used to think he had a humiliation fetish, what with him being a Tory and a referee but I've come round to the view that he's just a bog standard right wing bully. He's not even that good at it, flip-flopping around depending on which way Westminster is facing and copying other people's rhetoric.
 
...that said, cunting off the incumbent MP because he's had a bit of sick leave is low, even for him.
 
That’s pretty disgusting behaviour from Ross. David Duguid is currently rehabilitating, and the local party had endorsed him as their candidate.

Ross has been taking two salaries as an MP and MSP for years. This makes him look even more greedy and self-serving after continually promising to step down from Westminster.
 
It shows you how much respect he has for the job i.e. none.
 
My depressing prediction for this election is that Reform are going to perform shockingly well. I’m starting to worry that even FPTP won’t stop them from picking up seats.
 
People who say they’re voting Reform to a pollster are also the cohort most likely to not turn out at all. Basically the ‘none of the above’ vote at this election (as well as those voting for Farage as a personality). Worth pointing out polls really overegged the UKIP vote in 2015, even if they still did well enough to spook the Conservatives.

Interesting to see the polls converging too as more people shift from ‘Don’t Know’ and tactical voting comes into play. The shifts between Labour and Lib Dems is very telling. Honestly think this is all pointing toward a Tory wipeout with or without a significant Reform vote.
 
Labour % mostly reverting to low 40s across most polling. Bit noisy. One poll has a Reform surge and Labour +1.
 
All of these polls are saying Labour majorities of 300+ seats and Tories below 50 seats (lol) with Ed Davey as leader of the opposition. Setting the world alight at this point would be hindrence.
 
Ill Advised said:
Sunaks comms team need sacking
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This! They either don't know or care about the optics. The Guardian were running a picture of Biden, Macron, Scholz and David Cameron earlier with the low-key savage caption:

"The leaders of France, Germany and the US, at the D-Day commemoration in Normandy today alongside – the UK foreign secretary David Cameron. He was standing in for Rishi Sunak, who missed the event."
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Surely anything that keeps HIM away from the campaign trail can only be GOOD for the party.
 
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