2024 US Presidential Election

[Dark Carnival]

Let a girl bop omg!

 

[VoR]

Another day, another completely insane American political ad.

 

[VoR]

Also I’m sorry, I know every vote matters in Georgia, but this is giving Captain Tom

 

[funky]

Let’s all just be glad that a very old white man just voted for the Democrats!

 

[Nancy]

Who is he?

 

[Ellie]

Also I’m sorry, I know every vote matters in Georgia, but this is giving Captain Tom

Are we SURE he’s not dead yet?

 

[HalamaK]

I just don’t get the panic when a stronger Trump lost to a weaker opponent 4 years ago, yet we’re worried he’ll somehow do better this time despite being quite clearly out of SPUNK.

Don’t @ me when it all goes Handmaid’s Tale, but I’m not even sweating this one."

The narrative around him is much stronger this time, and his supporters know it’s their last chance. He’s running for re-election to save the country and democracy itself. His supporters knows that if he loses, he’ll be shot or locked up for life. Republican turnout will be higher to make sure that doesn’t happen.

 

[ZenGiraffe]

Who is he?

Former president of the US who only served 4 years before losing an election to Ronald Reagan

 

[ZenGiraffe]

Also I’m sorry, I know every vote matters in Georgia, but this is giving Captain Tom

Imagine popping to the polling booth and a corpse with a security detail is wheeled up next to you!

 

[Nancy]

Former president of the US who only served 4 years before losing an election to Ronald Reagan

And Ronald Reagan is one of the good ones, right?

 

[Lucille]

 

[AGinAg (38)]

And Ronald Reagan is one of the good ones, right?

You knew who he was under your Joey username and had plenty to say about him at the time of his death.

 

[Nancy]

You knew who he was under your Joey username and had plenty to say about him at the time of his death.

Well yes, I know he's a former president. I just don't really know how he's viewed by history.

 

[AGinAg (38)]

Well yes, I know he's a former president. I just don't really know how he's viewed by history.

He was a cunt.

 

[AGinAg (38)]

The Reagan death topic makes for some interesting reading

Poor Ronald. I hope Maggie isn't too upset

I thought of Maggie too.

I really hope we have a national day or mourning when she dies. She deserves it as the longest running and most successful Prime Minister of the last century. However, I hope the day she passes away is a couple of years in the future. I'd like her to see the Conservative Party return to power first so she can die happier.

Maggie should run for leader of the Conservatives. Yes, she is SLIGHTLY senile now, but her policies have always boded well with ME.

When she dies, I will be out on the street mourning with my Maggie mug in hand

I am an admirer of Maggie, but I consider taking us through World War II slighty more important...

Even though it was a World War, Churchill didn't get a choice in the matter.

Maggie was BRAVE enough to make unpopular decisions to change this country for the better. They had to be done otherwise this country would be in a far worse state than it is now. Most politicians would have not had the courage to make decisions that could very easily have cost them election victory. Maggie had the FORESIGHT to look at the benefits FAR beyond her time as Prime Minister.

Well, I wouldn't disagree with that. But at least she didn't go into a war that the opposition couldn't win to mask the fact that the liberal way in which she is running the welfare state is crippling the country thanks to massive benefit handouts

Good. I like Michael Howard. He would be an excellent PM.

I'm CHAMPIONING him. He is just what this country needs.

 

[ZenGiraffe]

And Ronald Reagan is one of the good ones, right?

 

[RJN]

not to be vulgar, but Ronald Reagan can burn in hell

 

[AGinAg (38)]

not to be vulgar, but Ronald Reagan can burn in hell

He has been for 20 years. Currently being raped by wasps.

 

[funky]

The Reagan death topic makes for some interesting reading

Was this a PARODY conversation?

 

[ZenGiraffe]

The Reagan death topic makes for some interesting reading

I hope some people have had some CHARACTER DEVELOPMENT in the past two decades.

 

[AGinAg (38)]

I hope some people have had some CHARACTER DEVELOPMENT in the past two decades.

Pretty sure Jack is no longer Tory. Sild broke his dialling wand so can't post anymore. Nancy appears to know less than he did 20 years ago.

 

[AGinAg (38)]

Plenty of us despised the pair of them, I only selected the ones.

 

[funky]

US election "Nostradamus" says polls underestimating Kamala Harris support

"It's my view...that the polls are now underestimating Democratic voting strength," said historian Allan Lichtman.

www.newsweek.com

I'm not sure how this proves anything because I thought mail-in voting always favoured the left, but let's run with it as he's a proper election historian

 

[VoR]

 

[KC 🦋]

She's definitely had a bigger impact on NC than him. He's lost his his edge big time. I watched both their events and Trump's speech was just droopy senile rambling. No structure, no focus, no lewks, NO NOTHIN'.

 

[Jark]

She's definitely had a bigger impact on NC than him. He's lost his his edge big time. I watched both their events and Trump's speech was just droopy senile rambling. No structure, no focus, no lewks, NO NOTHIN'.

just soup!

 

[funky]

I still don’t see it but the idea that she would win either NC or Georgia would be SO amazing.

 

[KC 🦋]

just soup!

Every time I wanna leave the SHIT behind, y'all find a way to pull me back.

 

[Joseph]

 

[funky]

I feel like we don’t give enough love to The Daily Show since its comeback. More of an ensemble cast now and there’s no weak link. And I just love Desi Lydic

 

[Joseph]

 

[AGinAg (38)]

Re: the polls

I heard a theory the other day that the pollsters are overcompensating for Trump, and Kamala has it in the bag.

This is largely based on the fear of fucking up again a la 2016. I think there's a lot in this, Trump is no longer the great electoral unknown, there's hardly a lot of brand new Trump supporters. Evidence shows undecided voters are veering Kamala.

 

[Finn]

Re: the polls

I heard a theory the other day that the pollsters are overcompensating for Trump, and Kamala has it in the bag.

This is largely based on the fear of fucking up again a la 2016. I think there's a lot in this, Trump is no longer the great electoral unknown, there's hardly a lot of brand new Trump supporters. Evidence shows undecided voters are veering Kamala.

I am going to cling to this post like a LIFE RAFT for the next two and a half weeks

 

[Art Decade]

It's always the ones you most expect.

 

[KC 🦋]

 

[Lucille]

 

[Apoca]

It's always the ones you most expect.

let's hope she fries him a stick of butter for good health.

 

[VoR]

ABC News – Breaking News, Latest News and Videos

ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes. The model gives Harris a 48-in-100 chance.

The change in candidate’s fortunes came after a slow drip-drip-drip of polls showed the race tightening across the northern and Sun Belt battlegrounds. In our forecast of the popular vote in Pennsylvania, the race has shifted from a 0.6-point lead for Harris on Oct. 1 to a 0.2-point lead for Trump; In Michigan, a 1.8-point Harris lead is now just 0.4 points; And in Wisconsin, a 1.6-point lead for Harris is now an exact tie between the two candidates. Meanwhile, Arizona and Georgia have flipped from toss-ups to “Lean Republican” states.

Still, a word of caution: You might be tempted to make a big deal about our forecast “flipping” to Trump, but it’s important to remember that a 52-in-100 chance for Trump is not all that different from a 58-in-100 chance for Harris — both are little better than a coin flip for the leading candidate. While Trump has undeniably gained some ground over the past couple weeks, a few good polls for Harris could easily put her back in the “lead” tomorrow. Our overall characterization of the race — that it’s a toss-up — remains unchanged.

 

[funky]

Wisconsin in particular looks to have fallen apart in the last couple of weeks. Fuck knows why.

However it appears to be just that general softening of margins that always seems to happen right before an election.

 

[Art Decade]